Inflation forecast to be controlled less than 4% in 2021

Wednesday, 06/01/2021 18:22
(CPV) – Many essential goods prices are forecast to fluctuate in 2021, thus the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will rise more sharply than in 2020. However, the average price hike for the whole year is projected to be less than 4%, as the target set by the National Assembly (NA).
Photo for illustration. (Source: nld.com.vn)

This comment was proposed by experts at a seminar held by the Academy of Finance on January 5 to discuss price fluctuation in 2020 and forecast for 2021.

Nguyen Anh Tuan, Director of the Price Management Department, said that both objective and subjective impacts have made the Government and ministries and branches’ task of stabilizing the macro-economy, promoting growth, and controlling inflation face great challenges. Therefore, the department had built and set up a price management scenario for this year, closely following the NA target of controlling inflation at below 4%.

In that context, price management has been directed by the Government and the Prime Minister to implement a prudent point of view, closely coordinating to ensure the harmonization of common goals.

It was difficult to predict prices of commodities this year, so the Price Management Department would continue to work closely with ministries, agencies and localities to drastically and effectively implement the public management, administration and price stabilization under market mechanisms to control inflation according to set targets, said Tuan.

At the same time, it would continue to implement the market price roadmap for public services and essential goods.

Economic expert Ngo Tri Long said that 2021 is still very unpredictable, so price management should be operated in a prudent, flexible and proactive manner. Fiscal policy should coordinate closely with monetary policy and other macroeconomic policies in order to control inflation in accordance with the set targets; at the same time, contributing to supporting and removing difficulties for production and business, and the lives of people affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.

According to Nguyen Duc Do, Deputy Director of the Institute of Economics and Finance, in 2021, when the disease is better controlled thanks to vaccines, and the world and domestic economy recovers; inflation compared to the same period last year tends to increase again./.

BTA

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